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Debunking the Climate Scam

Billions of Dollars -  Fudged Data  -  Corrupt Scientists

Greedy Green Corporations - Trillion Dollar Prize

No Warming For Two decades - Illiterate Media

Bought and Paid For Organizations


5000 Years Of Climate Change From Greenland Ice Cores

Climate Facts


These surprising facts are from the IPCC, which is  considered the bible of climate, NASA & the Ebullition of the American Metrological Society.  Links to these sources are below.


1. The Earth only warmed 0.78degree C since the start of the industrial age.

2. Man only emits 6% of total annual CO2 emissions (Nature emits 94%).

3. CO2 only causes 26-32% of the greenhouse effect. (H2O is 60-75%)

4. We do not have enough data to say that hurricanes have increased.

5. We do not have enough data to say that storms have increased.

6. Sea level has been rising for centuries, it HAS NOT RISEN FASTER recently.

7. There is little, if any, global scale changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods.

8. Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness


The evidence with links to the sources:

1. 0.78 degree C to 2012.

Using Had-CRUT4 and its uncertainty estimates, the warming from 1850–1900 to 1986–2005 (reference period for the modelling chapters and Annex I) is 0.61 [0.55 to 0.67]  C (90% confidence interval), and the warming from 1850–1900 to 2003–2012 (the most recent decade) is 0.78 [0.72 to 0.85]  C (Supplementary Material 2.SM.4.3.3).

Pg. 209 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


2.  Man emits about 6% of total emissions.

Add the numbers on this NASA diagram: https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/CarbonCycle/page1.php

3. CO2 causes only about 26-32% of the greenhouse effect. H2O causes 60-75%.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect#Greenhouse_gases

Wikipedia’s source:

Table 3 of:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society  Vol. 78, No. 2, February 1997 -

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477%281997%29078%3C0197%3AEAGMEB%3E2.0.CO%3B2


4. We do not have enough data to say that hurricanes have increased:

IPCC wrote: “Confidence remains low for long-term (centennial) changes in tropical cyclone activity, after accounting for past changes in observing capabilities.”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


5.  We do not have enough data to say that storms have increased.

IPCC wrote: “Confidence in large-scale trends in storminess or storminess proxies over the last century is low owing to inconsistencies between studies or lack of long-term data in some parts of the world (particularly in the SH). {2.6.4}”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


6.  The trend in sea level since 1993 is not larger than previous 18-year trends

(Note that sea levels have been rising since the end of the last ice age - the issue is whether it is increasing.)

IPCC wrote: “When a 60-year oscillation is modeled along with an acceleration term, the estimated acceleration in GMSL since 1900 ranges from: 0.000 [–0.002 to 0.002] mm yr–2 in the Ray and Douglas (2011) record, 0.013 [0.007 to 0.019] mm yr–2 in the Jevrejeva et al. (2008) record, and 0.012 [0.009 to 0.015] mm yr–2 in the Church and White (2011) record. Thus, while there is more disagreement on the value of a 20th century acceleration in GMSL when accounting for multi-decadal fluctuations, two out of three records still indicate a significant positive value. The trend in GMSL observed since 1993, however, is not significantly larger than the estimate of 18-year trends in previous decades (e.g., 1920–1950). “

Page 306 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


7. There is little, if any, global scale changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods.

IPCC wrote: “AR4 WGI Chapter 3 (Trenberth et al., 2007) did not assess changes in floods but AR4 WGII concluded that there was not a general global trend in the incidence of floods (Kundzewicz et al., 2007). SREX went further to suggest that there was low agreement and thus low confidence at the global scale regarding changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods or even the sign of changes.”

pg 230 of https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


8. Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness

IPCC wrote: “Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th century, owing to lack of direct observations, methodological uncertainties and geographical inconsistencies in the trends.”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


9. Prediction of future climate is not possible.

“The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/501.htm (IPCC third Assessment Report (2001) Section 14.2.2.2, page 774)

Conclusion:  Most of what we get from the media is grossly exaggerated or simply wrong and gives a false impression of a serious problem caused by man’s CO2.

-------------------Short Form of The above––––––––––––––––

Climate Facts from NASA, IPCC , AMS:

1. The Earth only warmed 0.78degree C since the start of the industrial age.

Pg. 209 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

2. Man only emits 6% of total annual CO2 emissions (Nature emits 94%).

Add the numbers on this NASA diagram: https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/CarbonCycle/page1.php

3. CO2 only causes 26-32% of the greenhouse effect. (H2O is 60-75%)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect#Greenhouse_gases

4. We do not have enough data to say that hurricanes have increased.

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

5. We do not have enough data to say that storms have increased.

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

6. Sea level has been rising for centuries, it HAS NOT RISEN FASTER recently.

Page 306 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

7. There is little, if any, global scale changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods.

pg 230 of https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

8. Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf

9. Long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.

Page 774 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/501.htm (IPCC third Assessment Report (2001) Section 14.2.2.2, page 774)

This means that there is NOTHING UNUSUAL about today’s climate and thus NOTHING to explain with man’s CO2.


-------------------The above without URLs––––––––––––––––

Some climate facts from NASA, IPCC & AMS:

1. The Earth only warmed 0.78degree C since the start of the industrial age.

Pg. 209 of IPCC WG1AR5

2. Man only emits 6% of total annual CO2 emissions (Nature emits 94%).

Add the numbers on the NASA diagram at NASA’s earth observatory Cabon Cycle diagram

3. CO2 only causes 26-32% of the greenhouse effect. (H2O is 60-75%)

wikipedia - Greenhouse_effects

4. We do not have enough data to say that hurricanes have increased.

pg 178 of  WG1AR5

5. We do not have enough data to say that storms have increased.

pg 178 of  WG1AR5

6. Sea level has been rising for centuries, it HAS NOT RISEN FASTER recently.

Page 306 of WG1AR5

7. There is little, if any, global scale changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods.

pg 230 WG1AR5

8. Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness

pg 178 of  WG1AR5

9. Long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.

Page 774 of IPCC third Assessment Report (2001) Section 14.2.2.2


This means that there is NOTHING UNUSUAL about today’s climate and thus NOTHING to explain with man’s CO2.


-------------------The above in Quiz Format––––––––––––––––


Climate Quiz

Climate quiz:

Note: The IPCC is considered the bible of climate by those concerned with climate.


1. How much has the Earth warmed since the start of the industrial age (per IPCC)?

2. What percentage of annual CO2 emissions are from man? (per NASA)

3. What percentage of the greenhouse effect is from CO2? (per AMS)

4. How much have hurricanes increased (per IPCC)?

5.How much have storms increased (per IPCC)?

6. How much has sea level increase accelerated (per IPCC)?

7. How much have floods increased (per IPCC)?

8. How much have droughts increased (per IPCC)

9. How trustworthy are predictions of future climate


Answers:

1. 0.78 degree C to 2012.

“Using Had-CRUT4 and its uncertainty estimates, the warming from 1850–1900 to 1986–2005 (reference period for the modelling chapters and Annex I) is 0.61 [0.55 to 0.67]  C (90% confidence interval), and the warming from 1850–1900 to 2003–2012 (the most recent decade) is 0.78 [0.72 to 0.85]  C (Supplementary Material 2.SM.4.3.3).”

Pg. 209 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


2.  Man emits about 6% of total emissions:

Add the numbers on this NASA diagram: https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/CarbonCycle/page1.php


3. CO2 causes only about 26-32% of the greenhouse effect. H2O causes 60-75%.:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect#Greenhouse_gases

Wikipedia’s source:  Table 3 of:  Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society  Vol. 78, No. 2, February 1997 -

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477%281997%29078%3C0197%3AEAGMEB%3E2.0.CO%3B2


4. We do not have enough data to say that hurricanes have increased:

“Confidence remains low for long-term (centennial) changes in tropical cyclone activity, after accounting for past changes in observing capabilities.”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


5.  We do not have enough data to say that storms have increased:

“Confidence in large-scale trends in storminess or storminess proxies over the last century is low owing to inconsistencies between studies or lack of long-term data in some parts of the world (particularly in the SH). {2.6.4}”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


6.  Sea level rise acceleration: (Note that sea levels have been rising since the end of the last ice age - the issue is whether it is increasing faster.)

“When a 60-year oscillation is modeled along with an acceleration term, the estimated acceleration in GMSL since 1900 ranges from: 0.000 [–0.002 to 0.002] mm yr–2 in the Ray and Douglas (2011) record, 0.013 [0.007 to 0.019] mm yr–2 in the Jevrejeva et al. (2008) record, and 0.012 [0.009 to 0.015] mm yr–2 in the Church and White (2011) record. Thus, while there is more disagreement on the value of a 20th century acceleration in GMSL when accounting for multi-decadal fluctuations, two out of three records still indicate a significant positive value. The trend in GMSL observed since 1993, however, is not significantly larger than the estimate of 18-year trends in previous decades (e.g., 1920–1950). “  

Page 306 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


7. How much have floods increased (per IPCC)?

“AR4 WGI Chapter 3 (Trenberth et al., 2007) did not assess changes in floods but AR4 WGII concluded that there was not a general global trend in the incidence of floods (Kundzewicz et al., 2007). SREX went further to suggest that there was low agreement and thus low confidence at the global scale regarding changes in the magnitude or frequency of floods or even the sign of changes.”

pg 230 of https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


8. How much have droughts increased

“Confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness (lack of rainfall) since the middle of the 20th century, owing to lack of direct observations, methodological uncertainties and geographical inconsistencies in the trends.”

pg 178 of  https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_all_final.pdf


9. How trustworthy are predictions of future climate

“The climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg1/501.htm (IPCC third Assessment Report (2001) Section 14.2.2.2, page 774)